Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 0-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Torquay United win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Torquay United | Draw | Chesterfield |
20.29% (![]() | 21.24% (![]() | 58.46% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.07% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.47% (![]() | 39.52% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.12% (![]() | 61.87% (![]() |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.96% (![]() | 33.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.37% (![]() | 69.63% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.73% (![]() | 13.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.93% (![]() | 40.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Torquay United | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 5.43% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 20.29% | 1-1 @ 9.81% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 9.9% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.94% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 8.85% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.67% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 3.52% Total : 58.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 44 | 33 | 8 | 3 | 112 | 41 | 71 | 107 |
2 | Notts County | 44 | 31 | 10 | 3 | 111 | 39 | 72 | 103 |
3 | Chesterfield | 44 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 50 | 27 | 81 |
4 | Woking | 43 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 76 |
5 | Barnet | 44 | 21 | 10 | 13 | 74 | 64 | 10 | 73 |
6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 43 | 18 | 15 | 10 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 69 |
7 | Bromley | 44 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 67 |
8 | Eastleigh | 44 | 19 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 65 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 63 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 44 | 17 | 8 | 19 | 59 | 72 | -13 | 59 |
11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 62 | 62 | 0 | 57 |
12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 57 |
13 | Halifax TownHalifax | 43 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 56 |
14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 43 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 56 |
15 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 44 | 14 | 12 | 18 | 65 | 79 | -14 | 54 |
16 | Gateshead | 43 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 53 |
17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 44 | 15 | 8 | 21 | 63 | 88 | -25 | 53 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 44 | 14 | 9 | 21 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 51 |
19 | York City | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 49 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 49 |
21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 55 | 77 | -22 | 46 |
22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 44 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 40 |
R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 47 | 82 | -35 | 34 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 44 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 43 | 95 | -52 | 25 |
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