

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Boreham Wood win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Boreham Wood | 
| 40.93% (  0.03) | 25.67% (  -0.01) | 33.39% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 54.84% (  0.03) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.82% (  0.04) | 49.18% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.75% (  0.04) | 71.24% (  -0.04) | 
| Chesterfield Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.2% (  0.03) | 23.79% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.04% (  0.05) | 57.95% (  -0.05) | 
| Boreham Wood Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.96% (  0.01) | 28.03% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.31% (  0.01) | 63.68% (  -0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Chesterfield | Draw | Boreham Wood | 
| 1-0 @ 9.58% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.74% (  0) 2-0 @ 6.88% (  0) 3-1 @ 4.19% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 3.29% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.66% (  0) 4-1 @ 1.5% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.18% (  0) 4-2 @ 0.96% (  0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.93% | 1-1 @ 12.17% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.13% (  0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.48% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.75% (  -0) 0-2 @ 5.39% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.36% (  0) 0-3 @ 2.29% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.39% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 | 
| 2 | Barnet | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 32 | 
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 30 | 
| 4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 | 
| 5 | Bromley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 26 | 
| 6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 | 
| 7 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 | 
| 8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 21 | 
| 9 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 | 
| 10 | Rochdale | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 20 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | 
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 
| 13 | Woking | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 | 
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 | 
| 15 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 16 | 
| 16 | Ebbsfleet | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 | 
| 17 | York City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 15 | 
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 | 
| 19 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 
| 20 | Oxford CityOxford City | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 14 | 
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 13 | 
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 13 | 
| 24 | Fylde | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 9 | 
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