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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Bristol City

Leeds
2 - 1
Bristol City

James (37'), Piroe (53')
Rodon (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Naismith (45+4')
Williams (6'), Gardner-Hickman (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 QPR
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

Bristol City

All competitions
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Bristol City

 Bristol City have impressed so far this season and will travel to Elland Road with confidence knowing they have the ability to cause problems for any side in the Championship, but we anticipate the Whites being slightly too strong in front of an Elland Road crowd and back them to narrowly come out on top at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBristol City
50.21% (0.831 0.83) 25.1% (-0.055 -0.05) 24.69% (-0.775 -0.78)
Both teams to score 51.24% (-0.572 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.66% (-0.389 -0.39)51.34% (0.392 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.84% (-0.34 -0.34)73.16% (0.343 0.34)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (0.191 0.19)20.46% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.08% (0.302 0.3)52.92% (-0.3 -0.3)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (-0.876 -0.88)35.58% (0.877 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.65% (-0.916 -0.92)72.35% (0.919 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 50.21%
    Bristol City 24.69%
    Draw 25.09%
Leeds UnitedDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.55% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.159 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 50.21%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.52% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 24.69%

How you voted: Leeds vs Bristol City

Leeds United
65.4%
Draw
23.1%
Bristol City
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 33
Leeds
1-0
Bristol City
> Match Report
Aug 4, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bristol City
1-3
Leeds
Weimann (79')
Pack (47'), Palmer (55'), Taylor (88')
Hernandez (26'), Bamford (57'), Harrison (72')
Forshaw (48'), Hernandez (54')
> Match Report
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Bristol City
0-1
Leeds

Semenyo (34'), Wright (61'), Diedhiou (81'), Webster (87')
Bamford (9')
Cooper (19'), Ayling (80'), Alioski (88'), Douglas (90')
> Match Report
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Leeds
2-0
Bristol City
Roofe (69'), Hernandez (86')
Alioski (27')

Brownhill (20')
Brownhill (55')
Feb 18, 2018 4.30pm
Leeds
2-2
Bristol City
Lasogga (72'), Roofe (80')
Pennington (44'), Phillips (75')
Diedhiou (11'), Reid (16')
Wright (55'), Brownhill (79'), Pack (86')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Burnley452716266155197
2Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344
> Championship Full Table


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