Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 56.81% ( | 22.91% ( | 20.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.02% ( | 46.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.78% ( | 69.22% ( |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.69% ( | 16.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.11% ( | 45.89% ( |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.67% ( | 37.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.88% ( | 74.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% ( 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 3-0 @ 6.05% ( 3-1 @ 5.96% ( 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 4-0 @ 2.74% ( 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 5-0 @ 1% ( 5-1 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 56.81% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 6% ( 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0-2 @ 2.96% ( 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.63% Total : 20.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 76 | 25 | 51 | 80 |
| 2 | Burnley | 38 | 21 | 15 | 2 | 52 | 11 | 41 | 78 |
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 77 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 69 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Bristol City | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 57 |
| 8 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 54 |
| 9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 52 |
| 10 | Watford | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 |
| 11 | Millwall | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 51 |
| 12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 51 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 60 | 54 | 6 | 49 |
| 14 | Preston North EndPreston | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 47 |
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 45 |
| 16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 42 |
| 18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 42 |
| 19 | Hull City | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 |
| 20 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 39 |
| 22 | Derby CountyDerby | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 38 |
| 23 | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 33 |
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