Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.46%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.88%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 23.46% ( | 20.09% ( | 56.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 67.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.32% ( | 29.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.2% ( | 50.79% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( | 24.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.75% ( | 59.25% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.31% ( | 10.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.42% ( | 34.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 1-0 @ 3.69% ( 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 3-1 @ 2.69% ( 2-0 @ 2.58% ( 3-0 @ 1.2% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 4-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 23.46% | 1-1 @ 8.25% ( 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-0 @ 2.64% ( 3-3 @ 2.24% ( Other @ 0.5% Total : 20.09% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 1-3 @ 6.88% ( 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0-3 @ 4.92% ( 2-3 @ 4.81% ( 1-4 @ 3.85% ( 0-4 @ 2.75% ( 2-4 @ 2.69% ( 1-5 @ 1.72% ( 3-4 @ 1.25% ( 0-5 @ 1.23% ( 2-5 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.42% Total : 56.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 67 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 62 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 47 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 36 |
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 |
| 12 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Willem II | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 19 |
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