Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Novorizontino win with a probability of 41.39%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 28.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Novorizontino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.