Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 1-1 Almere City
Sunday, May 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, May 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
58
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 Feyenoord
Sunday, May 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, May 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
42
We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Heerenveen
The hosts rebuilt confidence and momentum in the final games of the regular Eredivisie campaign, and even without Parrott's attacking threat they should have the quality to get past Heerenveen and move within touching distance of a European qualifying spot with a home win on Thursday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heerenveen |
69.18% ( 7.18) | 18.43% ( -2.63) | 12.4% ( -4.54) |
| Both teams to score 49.53% ( -2.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
