Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Sparta3 - 1Heerenveen
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sparta 2-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, April 6 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, April 6 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-1 Willem II
Friday, April 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Friday, April 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
35
We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Heerenveen
While Heerenveen are enjoying a progressive campaign, their away record has been dismal this season, which does not bode well for their chances here against a Sparta side that is unbeaten in their last five home games. The hosts have the third-best record in the top flight over the last five matchdays, only behind Ajax and Feyenoord, and we feel they will be able to edge the visitors to a win in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heerenveen |
53.36% ( 0.06) | 23.39% ( -0.01) | 23.24% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.01% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
