Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heerenveen | 
| 43.48% (  0) | 23.22% (  0) | 33.3% (  -0) | 
| Both teams to score 63.56% (  -0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 62.2% | 37.8% (  0) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 39.95% | 60.05% (  0) | 
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.16% (  0) | 17.83% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.42% (  0) | 48.58% (  0) | 
| Heerenveen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.35% (  0) | 22.65% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.72% (  -0) | 56.28% (  0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heerenveen | 
| 2-1 @ 8.92% (  0) 1-0 @ 6.96% (  0) 2-0 @ 6% (  0) 3-1 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.45% (  0) 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.88% Total : 43.48% | 1-1 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 6.62% 0-0 @ 4.04% 3-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 7.68% (  -0) 0-1 @ 6% (  0) 0-2 @ 4.45% (  -0) 1-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.41% (  -0) 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.3% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 70 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 46 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 | 
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 34 | 
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 | 
| 12 | Heracles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 | 
| 13 | Groningen | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 | 
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 | 
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 30 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 24 | 
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 | 
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 57 | -37 | 19 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
