PSV4 - 2Sparta
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, April 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
for
We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Sparta Rotterdam
PSV have been nearly flawless at Philips Stadion this season, and we cannot formulate a convincing argument of why that would change on Sunday afternoon versus Sparta Rotterdam. Boeren know that a point will be enough to clinch their first Eredivisie crown in six years, but we reckon that Bosz's men will go the extra mile to secure a comfortable win here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 78.96%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 8.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.58%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
78.96% ( -0.28) | 12.73% ( 0.27) | 8.32% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.37% ( -1.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.22% ( -1.48) | 25.78% ( 1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.07% ( -1.94) | 45.93% ( 1.94) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.86% ( -0.33) | 5.14% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 79.6% ( -1.01) | 20.4% ( 1.01) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.42% ( -1.19) | 40.58% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.83% ( -1.09) | 77.17% ( 1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.47) 3-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.45)4-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 4% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.16)6-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.08)6-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.13)5-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.14)Other @ 5.73% Total : 78.96% | 1-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.21% Total : 12.73% | 1-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.79% Total : 8.32% |
How you voted: PSV vs Sparta
de Kamps (39'), van Crooij (62'), Engels (63'), Beugelsdijk (90+5'), Meijers (90+6')
Verschueren (54')
