Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 38.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.07%) and 1-3 (4.76%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Ajax |
| 38.94% ( | 22.08% ( | 38.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 69.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.96% ( | 31.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.56% ( | 52.44% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.1% ( | 16.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.06% ( | 46.94% ( |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.12% ( | 16.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.09% ( | 46.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 1-0 @ 5.07% ( 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 2-0 @ 4.51% ( 3-2 @ 4.23% ( 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 4-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 3.38% Total : 38.94% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( 2-2 @ 7.14% ( 0-0 @ 2.85% ( 3-3 @ 2.51% ( Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.08% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0-1 @ 5.07% ( 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 2-3 @ 4.23% ( 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 2-4 @ 1.88% ( 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 3-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 38.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 67 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 62 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 47 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 36 |
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 |
| 12 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Willem II | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 19 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
