Ajax 2-2 NEC - Eredivisie - February 18, 2024 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

2 - 2

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Brobbey (7'), Borges (79')
Brobbey (67'), Hlynsson (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hato (61' og.), Rober (90+5')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-0 Nijmegen
Friday, February 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Although NEC suffered defeat last time out, they will have every confidence of capitalising on the inconsistences of their hosts. Nevertheless, Ajax's dramatic comeback on Thursday could provide them with the extra belief that they need to put together a more ruthless performance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 67.82%. A draw has a probability of 16.8% and a win for NEC has a probability of 15.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.86%), while for a NEC win it is 1-2 (4.13%).

Result
Ajax	Draw	NEC
67.82% ( 1.67)	16.79% ( -0.14)	15.39% ( -1.53)

Both teams to score 64.95% (

-3.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.62% (

-2.51)

26.38% (

2.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.3% (

-3.28)

46.71% (

3.29)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.77% (

-0.32)

7.23% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.79% (

-0.87)

26.21% (

0.87)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.01% (

-3.34)

30% (

3.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.89% (

-4.22)

66.11% (

4.22)

Score Analysis

Ajax 67.82%

NEC 15.39%

Draw 16.79%

Ajax	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.91) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.7) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.78) 4-1 @ 5.18% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.37) 4-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.39) 4-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.3) 5-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.17) 5-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.19) 4-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.26) 6-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.78% Total : 67.82%	1-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.35) Other @ 0.43% Total : 16.79%	1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.25% Total : 15.39%

How you voted: Ajax vs Nijmegen

Ajax

76.2%

Draw

9.5%

NEC

14.3%

Head to Head

Dec 3, 2023 1.30pm

Gameweek 14

1-2

Tavsan (90')

Hlynsson (57'), Borges (88')

Mar 5, 2023 3.45pm

Gameweek 24

1-0

Kudus (52')

Jan 8, 2023 1.30pm

Gameweek 15

1-1

Dimata (52')

Klaassen (38')

Apr 23, 2022 3.30pm

Gameweek 27

0-1

Schone (55'), Guth (59')

Brobbey (88')
Blind (53')

Aug 14, 2021 8pm

Gameweek 1

5-0

Haller (5'), Mazraoui (9'), Van Rooij (13' og.), Tadic (19', 38')