

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Moreirense win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon | 
| 19.81% (  -0.07) | 21.83% (  -0.05) | 58.36% (  0.12) | 
| Both teams to score 55.23% (  0.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.1% (  0.1) | 42.91% (  -0.1) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.69% (  0.1) | 65.31% (  -0.1) | 
| Moreirense Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.53% (  -0.01) | 35.47% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.77% (  -0.01) | 72.24% (  0.01) | 
| Sporting Lisbon Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.6% (  0.07) | 14.41% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.68% (  0.14) | 42.32% (  -0.13) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Moreirense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon | 
| 2-1 @ 5.32% (  -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.3% (  -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.75% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.84% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 0.95% (  -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.81% | 1-1 @ 10.26% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.15% (  -0) 0-0 @ 5.11% (  -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% (  0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 9.94% (  0) 0-1 @ 9.9% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.59% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 6.42% (  0.02) 0-3 @ 6.2% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 3.33% (  0.01) 1-4 @ 3.11% (  0.02) 0-4 @ 3% (  0.02) 2-4 @ 1.61% (  0.01) 1-5 @ 1.21% (  0.01) 0-5 @ 1.16% (  0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 58.36% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 69 | 
| 3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 | 
| 4 | Braga | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 60 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 48 | 
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 | 
| 8 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 40 | 
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 | 
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 | 
| 12 | Nacional | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 32 | 
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 26 | 
| 16 | AVS | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 23 | 
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 | 
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
