Braga 1-0 Sporting Lisbon - Taca da Liga Semi-Finals - Football

1 - 0

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Taca da Liga clash between Braga and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Ruiz (65')
Moutinho (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Quaresma (15'), Gyokeres (45+1')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Braga
Thursday, January 18 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Vizela 2-5 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, January 18 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Braga 1-3 Sporting Lisbon

While Braga will be looking to reach the cup final, they have their work cut out against a Sporting Lisbon side who are currently firing on all cylinders. Amorim's men are unbeaten in their last four games against the hosts and we are backing them to come out on top once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Braga had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
29.19% ( -2.38)	23.56% ( -0.36)	47.24% ( 2.74)

Both teams to score 60.09% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.57% (

0.42)

41.43% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.17% (

0.43)

63.82% (

-0.42)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.08% (

-1.32)

26.92% (

1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.75% (

-1.76)

62.25% (

1.77)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.23% (

1.28)

17.77% (

-1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.53% (

2.16)

48.46% (

-2.16)

Score Analysis

Braga 29.19%

Sporting Lisbon 47.24%

Draw 23.56%

Braga	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.19%	1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.35) 0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.41) 2-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.24) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.24) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.78% Total : 47.24%

How you voted: Braga vs Sporting Lisbon

Braga

20.9%

Draw

11.6%

Sporting Lisbon

67.4%

Head to Head

Sep 3, 2023 8.30pm

Gameweek 4

1-1

Djalo (78')
Niakate (45+4'), Jorge (45+6'), Carvalho (83')
Jorge (90+3')

Goncalves (25')
Gyokeres (27'), Morita (33'), Amorim (40'), Inacio (90'), Goncalves (90'), Diomande (90+4')

Feb 1, 2023 9.15pm

Gameweek 18

5-0

Morita (9', 46'), Edwards (61'), Reis (86'), Goncalves (90+3' pen.)

Dec 19, 2022 8.15pm

Quarter-Finals

5-0

Inacio (4'), Paulinho (7'), Goncalves (20' pen.), Trincao (41'), Edwards (45+4' pen.)

Aug 7, 2022 6pm

Gameweek 1

3-3

Banza (14'), Niakate (45+1'), Ruiz (88')
Niakate (22'), Elmusrati (24')

Goncalves (9'), Santos (18'), Edwards (83')
Nunes (68'), Goncalves (74')

Jan 22, 2022 8.30pm

Gameweek 19

1-2

Goncalves (24')
Sarabia (45'), Coates (51'), Nunes (90+1')

Galeno (52' pen.), Gorby (90+7')
Castro (57'), Ruiz (90+2'), Hornicek (90+7'), Magalhaes (90+9')