Casa Pia 1-3 Braga - Primeira Liga - December 30, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 30, 2023 at 6pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia

1 - 3

Braga

Clayton (74' pen.)
Mukendi (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Moutinho (51'), Banza (77'), Zalazar (88')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Chaves 1-3 Casa Pia
Sunday, December 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Nacional 1-3 Braga
Friday, December 22 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga have to keep churning out results to keep up with the likes of Benfica and Sporting, but this will not be an easy match for them. While Casa Pia have been poor in attack, their defensive performances have been very impressive, and they have only conceded more than one goal in a home game on one occasion this season. Braga will need to work for the points here, but we fancy them to get the job done, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Braga
22.45% ( 0.41)	23.63% ( 0.27)	53.91% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 53.24% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.56% (

-0.7)

47.44% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.35% (

-0.66)

69.65% (

0.65)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.54% (

-0.01)

35.45% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.78% (

-0.01)

72.22% (

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.49% (

-0.51)

17.51% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.98% (

-0.89)

48.02% (

0.88)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 22.45%

Braga 53.91%

Draw 23.62%

Casa Pia	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.95% Total : 22.45%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.62%	0-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.68% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.67% Total : 53.91%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Braga

Casa Pia

6.5%

Draw

12.9%

Braga

80.6%

Head to Head

Nov 1, 2023 8.15pm

Group Stage

Braga

1-1

Casa Pia

Pizzi (62')
Oliveira (74')

Clayton (76' pen.)
Paes (43'), Roberto (90+1')

> Preview

Apr 21, 2023 8.15pm

Gameweek 29

Casa Pia

0-1

Braga

Horta (54')

> Preview

Dec 3, 2022 5pm

Group Stage

Casa Pia

0-1

Braga

Oliveira (22')

Nov 6, 2022 6pm

Gameweek 12

Braga

0-1

Casa Pia

Martins (23')

> Preview

Form Guide

Chaves 1-3 Casa Pia

Porto 3-1 Casa Pia

Casa Pia 1-0 Portimonense

Nacional 0-0 Casa Pia (6-5 pen.)

Braga 1-1 Union Berlin

Africa Cup of Nations

Asian Cup

Qatar

FA Cup

Copa del Rey

KNVB Beker

KNVB Beker

Israeli Premier League

Australian Open Second Round

> Fixtures

Result

Kotov
Cobolli

5 3 7 2
7 6 5 6

Result

Elahi Galan
Baez

5 6 2 4
7 2 6 6

Result

Korpatsch
Krejcikova

2 2
6 6

Result

Anisimova
Podoroska

6 6
2 3

Result

Annie Fernandez
Parks

5 4
7 6

Result

Rakhimova
Parry

5 2
7 6

Result

Wozniacki
Timofeeva

6 4 1
1 6 6

Result

Sinner
De Jong

6 6 6
2 2 2

Result

Jabeur
Andreeva

0 2
6 6

Result

Kovacevic
Khachanov

4 3 6 3
6 6 4 6

Result

Marozsan
Cerundolo

77 6 6
65 4 2

Result

Musetti
Van Assche

3 6 77 3 0
6 3 65 6 6

Result

Mannarino
Munar

6 6 1 2 6
3 3 6 6 3

Result

Zakharova
Juvan

6 6
1 1

Result

Fritz
Gaston

6 6 6
0 3 1

Result

Badosa
Pavlyuchenkova

6 6
2 3

Result

Korneeva
Haddad Maia

1 2
6 6

Result

Siegemund
Hunter

4 6 3
6 3 6

Result

De Minaur
Arnaldi

6 6 6
3 0 3

Result

Dolehide
Gauff

62 2
77 6

Result

Korda
Halys

6 6 6
4 4 4

Result

Monfils
Martin Etcheverry

4 4 4
6 6 6

Result

Tsurenko
Masarova

6 6
3 4

Result

Garcia
Frech

4 62
6 77

Result

O'Connell
Shelton

4 1 6 65
6 6 3 77

Result

Tiafoe
Machac

4 4 65
6 6 77

Result

Eubanks
Rublev

4 4 4
6 6 6

Result

Kostyuk
Mertens

5 6 710
7 1 66

Result

Thompson
Tsitsipas

6 66 2 64
4 78 6 77

Result

Fruhvirtova
Sabalenka

3 2
6 6

Result

Djokovic
Popyrin

6 4 77 6
3 6 64 3

Result

Sakkari
Avanesyan

4 4
6 6

> View full version> Yesterday's results

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Sporting Lisbon	17	14	1	2	40	17	23	43
2	Benfica	17	13	3	1	35	11	24	42
3	Porto	17	12	2	3	25	12	13	38
4	Braga	17	10	3	4	40	25	15	33
5	Vitoria de Guimaraes Guimaraes	17	10	3	4	28	19	9	33
6	Moreirense Moreirense	17	8	5	4	24	18	6	29
7	Famalicao Famalicao	17	5	7	5	17	20	-3	22
8	SC Farense Farense	17	6	3	8	23	23	0	21
9	Boavista Boavista	17	5	5	7	26	31	-5	20
10	Casa Pia	17	5	4	8	18	23	-5	19
11	Estrela Amadora	17	4	6	7	18	24	-6	18
12	Portimonense Portimonense	17	5	3	9	18	36	-18	18
13	Estoril Praia Estoril	17	5	2	10	31	32	-1	17
14	Arouca Arouca	17	4	4	9	23	25	-2	16
15	Gil Vicente	17	4	4	9	27	31	-4	16
16	Rio Ave Rio Ave	17	3	6	8	19	28	-9	15
17	Vizela	17	2	7	8	16	27	-11	13
18	Chaves Chaves	17	3	2	12	18	44	-26	11
					> Primeira Liga Full Table