Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 30, 2023 at 6pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Casa Pia1 - 3Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chaves 1-3 Casa Pia
Sunday, December 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, December 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Nacional 1-3 Braga
Friday, December 22 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Friday, December 22 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
We said: Casa Pia 0-1 Braga
Braga have to keep churning out results to keep up with the likes of Benfica and Sporting, but this will not be an easy match for them. While Casa Pia have been poor in attack, their defensive performances have been very impressive, and they have only conceded more than one goal in a home game on one occasion this season. Braga will need to work for the points here, but we fancy them to get the job done, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Braga |
22.45% ( 0.41) | 23.63% ( 0.27) | 53.91% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 53.24% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
