Nacional 1-3 Braga - Taca da Liga Group Stage - Football

While Nacional have been very good in Liga Portugal 2 this season, they face a huge step up in class of opponents here and are likely to struggle to claim a point in this group. Despite Braga heading into this match following back-to-back cup and league defeats, we fancy the Primeira Liga outfit to secure the win and their place in the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.8%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 23.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Nacional win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Braga
23.14% ( -0.02)	22.06% ( -0.01)	54.8% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 59.44% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.35% (

0.05)

39.65% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38% (

0.05)

62% (

-0.04)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.48% (

0.01)

30.52% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.25% (

0.01)

66.74% (

-0)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.56% (

0.03)

14.44% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.61% (

0.06)

42.39% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Nacional 23.14%

Braga 54.8%

Draw 22.06%

Nacional	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 6.01% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 23.14%	1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.06%	1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.25% 1-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 54.8%

How you voted: Nacional vs Braga

Nacional

17.4%

Draw

21.7%

Braga

60.9%

Head to Head

Apr 25, 2023 7.30pm

Semi-Finals 2nd Leg

Braga

2-2

Nacional

(Nacional win 7-2 on aggregate)

Racic (33' pen.), Gomes (48')

Clayton (72'), Dudu (90+3' pen.)

> Preview

Apr 12, 2023 7.30pm

Semi-Finals 1st Leg

Nacional

0-5

Braga

Racic (25', 53'), Pizzi (43'), Banza (76' pen., 90+1')

> Preview

Feb 28, 2021 8pm

Gameweek 21

Nacional

1-2

Braga

Riascos (69')
Pedrao (59')

Fransergio (25'), Ruiz (29')

> Preview

Oct 17, 2020 6pm

Gameweek 4

Braga

2-1

Nacional

Fransergio (28'), Medeiros (42')
Sequeira (76')

Borges (86')
Ramos (31'), Kal (36'), Freitas (70'), Azouni (89')

Jan 18, 2019 6.45pm

Gameweek 18

Nacional

0-3

Braga

Riascos (10'), Ferreira (72')

Horta (61'), Murilo (73'), Paulinho (86')
Santos (10'), Sousa (14')

Form Guide

Nacional 0-0 Casa Pia (6-5 pen.)

Nacional 6-1 Mirandela

Casa Pia 2-1 Nacional

Uniao de Leiria 3-3 Nacional (4-5 pen.)

Nacional 0-0 Penafiel (0-0 pen.)

Braga 1-1 Union Berlin

Portimonense 1-4 Braga

Africa Cup of Nations

Asian Cup

Qatar

FA Cup

Copa del Rey

KNVB Beker

KNVB Beker

Israeli Premier League

Australian Open Second Round

> Fixtures

Result

Kotov
Cobolli

5 3 7 2
7 6 5 6

Result

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Baez

5 6 2 4
7 2 6 6

Result

Korpatsch
Krejcikova

2 2
6 6

Result

Anisimova
Podoroska

6 6
2 3

Result

Annie Fernandez
Parks

5 4
7 6

Result

Rakhimova
Parry

5 2
7 6

Result

Wozniacki
Timofeeva

6 4 1
1 6 6

Result

Sinner
De Jong

6 6 6
2 2 2

Result

Jabeur
Andreeva

0 2
6 6

Result

Kovacevic
Khachanov

4 3 6 3
6 6 4 6

Result

Marozsan
Cerundolo

77 6 6
65 4 2

Result

Musetti
Van Assche

3 6 77 3 0
6 3 65 6 6

Result

Mannarino
Munar

6 6 1 2 6
3 3 6 6 3

Result

Zakharova
Juvan

6 6
1 1

Result

Fritz
Gaston

6 6 6
0 3 1

Result

Badosa
Pavlyuchenkova

6 6
2 3

Result

Korneeva
Haddad Maia

1 2
6 6

Result

Siegemund
Hunter

4 6 3
6 3 6

Result

De Minaur
Arnaldi

6 6 6
3 0 3

Result

Dolehide
Gauff

62 2
77 6

Result

Korda
Halys

6 6 6
4 4 4

Result

Monfils
Martin Etcheverry

4 4 4
6 6 6

Result

Tsurenko
Masarova

6 6
3 4

Result

Garcia
Frech

4 62
6 77

Result

O'Connell
Shelton

4 1 6 65
6 6 3 77

Result

Tiafoe
Machac

4 4 65
6 6 77

Result

Eubanks
Rublev

4 4 4
6 6 6

Result

Kostyuk
Mertens

5 6 710
7 1 66

Result

Thompson
Tsitsipas

6 66 2 64
4 78 6 77

Result

Fruhvirtova
Sabalenka

3 2
6 6

Result

Djokovic
Popyrin

6 4 77 6
3 6 64 3

Result

Sakkari
Avanesyan

4 4
6 6

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