Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Portimonense win it was 2-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.