Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 14.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Casa Pia |
64.66% (![]() | 20.57% (![]() | 14.77% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.01% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.02% (![]() | 45.99% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.71% (![]() | 68.29% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.54% (![]() | 13.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.53% (![]() | 40.47% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.64% (![]() | 43.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.4% (![]() | 79.6% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Casa Pia |
2-0 @ 11.73% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.7% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.81% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.84% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 2.79% Total : 64.65% | 1-1 @ 9.78% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.88% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 1.49% Total : 14.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 28 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 17 | 51 | 71 |
2 | Braga | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 24 | 38 | 68 |
3 | Porto | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 67 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 58 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 45 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 41 |
7 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 39 |
8 | Vizela | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 39 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 39 |
10 | ChavesChaves | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 35 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 31 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 30 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 |
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