

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Estoril Praia | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Famalicao | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 7 | -10 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 35.6%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (12.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Casa Pia.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Famalicao |
| 35.6% ( | 29.67% ( | 34.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.95% ( | 64.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.78% ( | 83.22% ( |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% ( | 34.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.2% ( | 70.8% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.3% ( | 34.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.57% ( | 71.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% ( 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 3-2 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.6% | 1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0-0 @ 11.83% ( 2-2 @ 3.84% ( Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.66% | 0-1 @ 12.52% ( 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 2-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 34.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
| 2 | Benfica | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 39 |
| 3 | Porto | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Braga | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 33 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
| 10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
| 11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
| 14 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Vizela | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 13 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 |
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