

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Estoril Praia | 7 | 3 | 11 | 
| 7 | Casa Pia | 6 | 3 | 11 | 
| 8 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 3 | 10 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 7 | -3 | 5 | 
| 16 | Famalicao | 6 | -6 | 4 | 
| 17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 7 | -10 | 1 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 35.6%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (12.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Casa Pia.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Famalicao | 
| 35.6% (  2.15) | 29.67% (  1.02) | 34.73% (  -3.16) | 
| Both teams to score 43.03% (  -2.67) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 35.95% (  -3.29) | 64.05% (  3.3) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 16.78% (  -2.41) | 83.22% (  2.41) | 
| Casa Pia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.89% (  -0.28) | 34.11% (  0.28) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.2% (  -0.3) | 70.8% (  0.3) | 
| Famalicao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.3% (  -3.75) | 34.7% (  3.76) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.57% (  -4.19) | 71.43% (  4.19) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Casa Pia | Draw | Famalicao | 
| 1-0 @ 12.73% (  1.39) 2-1 @ 7.25% (  0.04) 2-0 @ 6.85% (  0.7) 3-1 @ 2.6% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.46% (  0.23) 3-2 @ 1.38% (  -0.15) Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.6% | 1-1 @ 13.47% (  0.17) 0-0 @ 11.83% (  1.37) 2-2 @ 3.84% (  -0.4) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.66% | 0-1 @ 12.52% (  0.25) 1-2 @ 7.13% (  -0.67) 0-2 @ 6.63% (  -0.57) 1-3 @ 2.52% (  -0.54) 0-3 @ 2.34% (  -0.48) 2-3 @ 1.35% (  -0.3) Other @ 2.23% Total : 34.72% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 39 | 
| 3 | Porto | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 
| 4 | Braga | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 33 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 | 
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 | 
| 8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 | 
| 9 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 | 
| 10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 | 
| 11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 | 
| 13 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 | 
| 14 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 | 
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 15 | 
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 | 
| 17 | Vizela | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 13 | 
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 | 
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