Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Hapoel Hadera win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beitar Jerusalem would win this match.