| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Porto | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| 4 | Portimonense | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Estoril Praia | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Famalicao | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 4 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 43.89%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 27.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portimonense.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 43.89% ( | 28.33% ( | 27.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.77% ( | 61.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.84% ( | 81.16% ( |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.24% ( | 27.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.66% ( | 63.33% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.61% ( | 38.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.86% ( | 75.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 13.65% ( 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 4-1 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 1.73% Total : 43.89% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0-0 @ 10.65% ( 2-2 @ 4.01% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 1-3 @ 2% ( 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 2-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 1.59% Total : 27.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 54 | 13 | 41 | 56 |
| 2 | Porto | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 48 | 12 | 36 | 51 |
| 3 | Braga | 21 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 49 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 41 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 34 |
| 6 | Casa Pia | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 32 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 30 |
| 8 | Vizela | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
| 9 | ChavesChaves | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 26 |
| 10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 15 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 12 |
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