

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 3 | -4 | 1 | 
| 16 | Famalicao | 3 | -5 | 1 | 
| 17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 3 | -7 | 0 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | -2 | 4 | 
| 14 | Santa Clara | 3 | -2 | 1 | 
| 15 | Rio Ave | 3 | -4 | 1 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Santa Clara | 
| 49.07% (  -0.2) | 26.01% (  -0.04) | 24.93% (  0.25) | 
| Both teams to score 48.78% (  0.35) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.32% (  0.34) | 54.68% (  -0.34) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24% (  0.28) | 76% (  -0.28) | 
| Famalicao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.68% (  0.05) | 22.32% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.21% (  0.08) | 55.79% (  -0.07) | 
| Santa Clara Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.79% (  0.41) | 37.21% (  -0.4) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.01% (  0.4) | 73.99% (  -0.4) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Famalicao | Draw | Santa Clara | 
| 1-0 @ 12.45% (  -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.34% (  -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.23% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 4.67% (  -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.62% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% (  0.03) 4-0 @ 1.75% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.73% (  0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.06% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 8.3% (  -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.56% (  0.05) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.21% (  -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.09% (  0.06) 0-2 @ 4.06% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 2.01% (  0.04) 2-3 @ 1.5% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 1.34% (  0.03) Other @ 1.73% Total : 24.93% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 26 | 59 | 78 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 78 | 
| 3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 29 | 31 | 65 | 
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 53 | 27 | 26 | 65 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 54 | 
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 51 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 44 | 
| 8 | Casa Pia | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 42 | 
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 42 | 
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 | 
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 36 | 
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 34 | 
| 13 | Nacional | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 33 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 32 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 29 | 
| 16 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 24 | 
| 17 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 53 | -31 | 24 | 
| 18 | AVS | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 24 | 
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