Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 25.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
