Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
