Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.