Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 17.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.8%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
17.27% | 23.48% | 59.25% |
Both teams to score 45.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.6% | 53.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.06% | 74.94% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.49% | 44.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.46% | 80.54% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.25% | 17.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.57% | 48.43% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 6.39% 2-1 @ 4.47% 2-0 @ 2.59% 3-1 @ 1.21% 3-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.56% Total : 17.27% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 13.65% 0-2 @ 11.8% 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-3 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 5.51% 0-4 @ 2.94% 1-4 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-5 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.39% Total : 59.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
2 | Porto | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 82 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 51 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 50 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 43 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 41 |
10 | Vizela | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 31 |
16 | Maritimo | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 26 |
17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 22 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
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