Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
64.51% | 21.2% | 14.29% |
Both teams to score 45.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.46% | 49.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.43% | 71.57% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.35% | 14.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.22% | 42.77% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.77% | 46.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.1% | 81.89% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 13% 2-0 @ 12.49% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 6.17% 4-0 @ 3.84% 4-1 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.38% 5-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.14% 5-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.25% Total : 64.51% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 5.22% 1-2 @ 3.87% 0-2 @ 2.02% 1-3 @ 1% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.23% Total : 14.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 30 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 71 | 17 | 54 | 77 |
2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Braga | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 61 | 28 | 33 | 64 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 44 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
9 | Vizela | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 39 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 48 | -29 | 16 |
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