Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.23%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Porto |
13.4% | 21.38% | 65.22% |
Both teams to score 43.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.01% | 51.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.27% | 73.73% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.92% | 49.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.99% | 84.01% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.78% | 15.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.12% | 43.88% |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 5.32% 2-1 @ 3.56% 2-0 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.63% Total : 13.4% | 1-1 @ 10.01% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 3.35% Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.38% | 0-1 @ 14.06% 0-2 @ 13.23% 1-2 @ 9.42% 0-3 @ 8.31% 1-3 @ 5.91% 0-4 @ 3.91% 1-4 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-5 @ 1.47% 1-5 @ 1.05% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.98% Total : 65.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
2 | Porto | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 48 |
3 | Braga | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 46 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 38 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 33 |
6 | Casa Pia | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 30 |
8 | Vizela | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
9 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 26 |
11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 24 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 |
16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Maritimo | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 13 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 12 |
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