Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.13%) and 1-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Rio Ave |
29.88% | 29.79% | 40.34% |
Both teams to score 41.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.9% | 65.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.04% | 83.96% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.15% | 38.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.42% | 75.58% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.32% | 31.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.91% | 68.09% |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 6.32% 2-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.54% Total : 29.87% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 12.3% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.78% | 0-1 @ 14.14% 0-2 @ 8.13% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-3 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.92% Total : 40.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 31 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 72 | 17 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 67 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
8 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
9 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 40 |
11 | Vizela | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 39 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 56 | -33 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
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