Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
