Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Gil Vicente | 
| 40.12% | 28.75% | 31.13% | 
| Both teams to score 44.9% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 38.52% | 61.48% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 18.65% | 81.35% | 
| Portimonense Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.02% | 29.98% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.91% | 66.09% | 
| Gil Vicente Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.12% | 35.88% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.34% | 72.66% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Portimonense | Draw | Gil Vicente | 
| 1-0 @ 12.95% 2-1 @ 8% 2-0 @ 7.81% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 0.97% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.45% Total : 40.11% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 11.02% 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2% Total : 31.13% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 29 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 69 | 17 | 52 | 74 | 
| 2 | Porto | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 70 | 
| 3 | Braga | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 24 | 38 | 68 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 58 | 
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 48 | 
| 6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 | 
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 41 | 
| 8 | Vizela | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 39 | 
| 9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 39 | 
| 10 | ChavesChaves | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 37 | 
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 | 
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 35 | 
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 29 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 33 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 31 | 
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 25 | 
| 16 | Maritimo | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 22 | 
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 17 | 
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 | 
| > Full Version | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
