Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.31%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
