Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 21.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.