

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 53.1%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 53.1% ( | 23.08% ( | 23.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.38% ( | 43.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.99% ( | 66.02% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.59% ( | 16.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.93% ( | 46.07% ( |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.87% ( | 32.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.38% ( | 68.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 3-0 @ 5.19% ( 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 5-1 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 53.11% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 23.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dundee | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 66 | 40 | 26 | 63 |
| 2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 63 | 52 | 11 | 58 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 45 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 57 |
| 6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 43 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 34 |
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 31 |
| R | Cove Rangers | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 31 |
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