Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Dundee |
| 32.67% ( | 26.18% ( | 41.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.49% ( | 51.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.69% ( | 73.31% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( | 29.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.31% ( | 65.69% ( |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.28% ( | 24.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.73% ( | 59.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 4-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.67% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0-3 @ 3.33% ( 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0-4 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 41.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 58 | 38 | 20 | 54 |
| 2 | Dundee | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 50 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 46 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 43 |
| 6 | Raith Rovers | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 36 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 26 |
| 9 | Arbroath | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 25 |
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 25 |
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