

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 46.75% ( | 24.95% ( | 28.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% ( | 48.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( | 70.32% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.36% ( | 20.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.79% ( | 53.21% ( |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.01% ( | 30.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.71% ( | 67.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 3-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0-3 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 28.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Livingston | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 54 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 38 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
| 8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 28 |
| 9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 21 |
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