National League South | Gameweek 40
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Tonbridge Angels2 - 1Chelmsford City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Chelmsford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bath City 2-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
46
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Weston
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
60
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.
Result | ||
Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Chelmsford City |
37.75% (![]() | 26.58% | 35.67% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.25% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.33% (![]() | 52.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.69% (![]() | 74.31% (![]() |
Tonbridge Angels Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.9% (![]() | 27.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.52% (![]() | 62.48% (![]() |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.68% (![]() | 28.32% (![]() |