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National League South | Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Meadow

Chesham
0 - 1
Tonbridge Angels

FT(HT: 0-0)
Zanre Botti (69')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chesham United and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Worthing 3-0 Chesham
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Chesham UnitedDrawTonbridge Angels
46.41% (-0.219 -0.22) 26.23% (0.151 0.15) 27.35% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.08% (-0.404 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05% (-0.547 -0.55)53.95% (0.549 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.46 -0.46)75.4% (0.464 0.46)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (-0.336 -0.34)23.21% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.88% (-0.494 -0.49)57.12% (0.496 0.5)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.23% (-0.238 -0.24)34.77% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.5% (-0.252 -0.25)71.5% (0.254 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Chesham United 46.41%
    Tonbridge Angels 27.35%
    Draw 26.23%
Chesham UnitedDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 46.41%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.172 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 8.53% (0.128 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 27.35%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Tonbridge Angels
1-0
Chesham
Robinson (17')
Sutcliffe (43'), Nelson (66'), Wagstaff (87'), Evans (90+2'), Evans (90+2')

Cawley (45')
Cawley (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Worthing442591072561684
2Truro CityTruro City442411968402883
3Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd442314766412583
4Dorking WanderersDorking442313886533382
5Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne442313866432382
6Boreham WoodBoreham Wood442481279463380
7Maidstone UnitedMaidstone442114967353277
8Weston-super-MareWeston4420121264501472
9Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.441711166370-762
10AFC HornchurchHornchurch441514155354-159
11Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels441611175054-459
12Farnborough TownFarnborough44178195964-559
13Chesham UnitedChesham441611175967-859
14Chelmsford CityChelmsford City441414166360356
15Bath City441511184545056
16Chippenham TownChippenham44168205665-956
17Slough TownSlough441312196673-751
18Hampton & RichmondHampton44149215865-751
19Enfield Town44139224779-3248
20Salisbury441015195567-1245
21St Albans CitySt Albans City44818184459-1542
22Welling UnitedWelling United44107274585-4037
23Weymouth44615234268-2633
24Aveley4487294377-3431


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