We said: AVS 1-1 Casa Pia
Saturday's game is hard to predict, given that AVS have lost three of their last four home matches while Casa Pia have earned just one point from their previous away games, suffering four defeats.
Consequently, the spoils could be shared in Vila das Aves on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for AVS had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.