MX23RW : Monday, April 28 15:09:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Casa Pia

AVS
1 - 1
Casa Pia

Akinsola (2')
Grau (16'), Luis (41'), Pinto Mendonca (61'), Ochoa (82'), Vela Rodrigues (84'), Galletto (87'), Mercado (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Caue (90+5')
Larrazabal (40'), Kluivert (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 4-1 AVS
Sunday, April 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Porto
Saturday, April 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: AVS 1-1 Casa Pia

Saturday's game is hard to predict, given that AVS have lost three of their last four home matches while Casa Pia have earned just one point from their previous away games, suffering four defeats. Consequently, the spoils could be shared in Vila das Aves on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for AVS had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AVSDrawCasa Pia
29.94% (-0.129 -0.13) 27.84% (0.174 0.17) 42.22% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.93% (-0.55 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.28% (-0.668 -0.67)58.72% (0.668 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.75% (-0.52 -0.52)79.25% (0.52200000000001 0.52)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.7% (-0.455 -0.45)35.3% (0.456 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.94% (-0.476 -0.48)72.05% (0.477 0.48)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-0.33699999999999 -0.34)27.47% (0.338 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (-0.435 -0.43)62.96% (0.437 0.44)
Score Analysis
    AVS 29.93%
    Casa Pia 42.21%
    Draw 27.84%
AVSDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.123 0.12)
2-1 @ 6.79% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 29.93%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.243 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.84%
0-1 @ 12.52% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.09% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 42.21%

How you voted: AVS vs Casa Pia

AVS
14.3%
Draw
57.1%
Casa Pia
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 13
Casa Pia
1-1
AVS
Pedro Goulart Silva (12')
Assuncao (72' pen.)
Silva (34'), Castro (49'), Rodriguez Elduayen (53'), Assuncao (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31236283255875
2Benfica31243480255575
3Braga31197552262664
4Porto31195757282962
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes311312644321251
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara31155113129250
7FamalicaoFamalicao31111194034644
8Casa Pia30118113538-341
9Estoril PraiaEstoril30109113848-1039
10MoreirenseMoreirense3199133645-936
11Nacional3196162842-1433
12AroucaArouca3189143047-1733
13Rio AveRio Ave3189143351-1833
14Gil Vicente3188153143-1232
15Estrela Amadora3178162443-1929
16AVS31412152355-3224
17SC FarenseFarense3149182042-2221
18BoavistaBoavista3156202052-3221


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