Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for AVS had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | AVS |
41.32% (![]() | 27.92% (![]() | 30.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.07% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.29% (![]() | 58.7% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.76% (![]() | 79.24% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% (![]() | 27.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.42% (![]() | 63.58% (![]() |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.32% (![]() | 34.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.6% (![]() | 71.4% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | AVS |
1-0 @ 12.35% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.34% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 1.79% Total : 41.32% | 1-1 @ 13.08% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.69% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.42% ( ![]() Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 10.26% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.93% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.44% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.56% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 30.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 72 |
3 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
4 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 |
8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 33 |
13 | Nacional | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 26 |
16 | AVS | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 24 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |