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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Rio Ave

Casa Pia
2 - 1
Rio Ave

Cassiano (30'), Tchamba (62')
Larrazabal (68'), Roberto (70'), Kluivert (86'), Geraldes (89'), Caue (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morais (21')
Bakoulas (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, March 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-3 Benfica
Sunday, March 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 2-0 Rio Ave

Both teams enter this clash on shaky ground, but Casa Pia hold the edge, buoyed by key returns, with Fonte and Cassiano potentially bolstering the lineup, while Clayton's absence further dents Rio Ave's prospects, making a home win likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawRio Ave
33.68% (2.667 2.67) 27.79% (1.14 1.14) 38.53% (-3.813 -3.81)
Both teams to score 48.23% (-2.669 -2.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.38% (-3.742 -3.74)57.61% (3.737 3.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.61% (-3.055 -3.06)78.38% (3.05 3.05)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)32.05% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)68.52% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (-3.844 -3.84)29.01% (3.838 3.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09% (-5.023 -5.02)64.91% (5.018 5.02)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 33.67%
    Rio Ave 38.53%
    Draw 27.78%
Casa PiaDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 10.57% (1.394 1.39)
2-1 @ 7.45% (0.232 0.23)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.786 0.79)
3-1 @ 2.83% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.28% (0.295 0.3)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.67%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.44 0.44)
0-0 @ 9.3% (1.249 1.25)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.369 -0.37)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.78%
0-1 @ 11.5% (0.4 0.4)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.63 -0.63)
0-2 @ 7.12% (-0.538 -0.54)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.673 -0.67)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.584 -0.58)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.388 -0.39)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.351 -0.35)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.306 -0.31)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 38.53%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Rio Ave

Casa Pia
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Rio Ave
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2025 4.45pm
Round of 16
Casa Pia
1-3
Rio Ave
Martins Pereira (42')
Ferreira de Sousa (58'), Svensson Rio (90+4')
Bondoso (6'), Clayton (15'), Morais (81')
Aguilera (12'), Neto (62'), Miszta (65')
Nov 2, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 10
Rio Ave
2-2
Casa Pia
Clayton (16'), Neto (40')
Richards (37'), Aderlan (69'), Vrousai (82')
Moreira (3'), Cassiano (28')
Segovia (43'), Brito (85'), Kraev (90+5')
Feb 11, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Rio Ave
1-0
Casa Pia
Yakubu (88')
Freire (14'), Teixeira (38')

Neto (13'), Clayton (86'), Lameiras (90+4')
Sep 2, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 4
Casa Pia
1-1
Rio Ave
Roberto (13')
Clayton (75')
Joca (52')
Graca (77'), Pantalon (90+4')
Apr 16, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 28
Rio Ave
1-1
Casa Pia
Pantalon (52')
Martins (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon32246285265978
2Benfica32253482265678
3Porto32205760293165
4Braga32198553272665
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes321412646331354
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara32156113230251
7FamalicaoFamalicao321111104136544
8Casa Pia32119123641-542
9Estoril PraiaEstoril32119124251-942
10MoreirenseMoreirense3299143748-1136
11Rio AveRio Ave3299143551-1636
12AroucaArouca32810143047-1734
13Nacional3296172944-1533
14Gil Vicente3288163245-1332
15Estrela Amadora3278172445-2129
16SC FarenseFarense3259182243-2124
17BoavistaBoavista3266202253-3124
18AVS32412162457-3324


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