Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Rio Ave2 - 3Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Rio Ave
Monday, March 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, March 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
27
We said: Rio Ave 1-3 Benfica
For all their inconsistencies, Rio have been tough to beat on their own turf, losing just once in 12 league games, though with Benfica in rampant form in recent top-flight outings, they should have enough to take all three points as they push to strengthen their title bid. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 2-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Benfica |
18.88% ( -0.03) | 21.28% ( 0.11) | 59.83% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
