Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica3 - 2Moreirense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-3 Benfica
Sunday, February 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-2 Braga
Monday, February 3 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, February 3 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
23
We said: Benfica 3-1 Moreirense
Benfica have conceded in four of their last five Liga fixtures and six of nine in all competitions in 2025, pointing to Moreirense finding the back of the net on Saturday. However, Lage's side should ultimately overpower the out-of-sorts visitors to inflict the away side's fifth league loss in six on their travels. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 78.49%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 7.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.73%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Moreirense |
78.49% ( -0.68) | 13.86% ( 0.3) | 7.66% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 47.38% ( 0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
