Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 4, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica1 - 2Braga
We said: Benfica 2-1 Braga
Looking at recent meetings between Benfica and Braga, we anticipate an action-packed contest at the Estadio da Luz as both sides look to begin the new year on a winning note. As Aguias have been perfect on home turf this season, and while we expect Braga to put up a fight, we are backing Lage's men to come away with all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Braga had a probability of 15.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Braga |
64.94% ( -0.19) | 19.34% ( 0.07) | 15.72% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
