

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
| 46.83% ( | 25.26% ( | 27.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.3% ( | 49.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% ( | 71.71% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( | 21.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.86% ( | 54.14% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% ( | 32.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.45% ( | 68.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.82% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 2-3 @ 2% ( 0-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 27.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
| 2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 72 |
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
| 4 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | Nacional | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 26 |
| 16 | AVS | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 24 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
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