Alloa Athletic
Annan Athletic
Arbroath
Cove Rangers
Dumbarton
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Inverness CT
Scottish League One | Gameweek 35
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
Arbroath

Inverness
3 - 0
Arbroath

Bray (9'), Allan (26' pen.), Mckay (50')
Strachan (37')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Dow (73')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-1 Inverness
Saturday, April 19 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Annan 5-1 Arbroath
Saturday, April 19 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawArbroath
49.29% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)24.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)25.92% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.35% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.010999999999996 0.01)49.12% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)71.19% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.04% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)19.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.88% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)52.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.65% (0.022000000000006 0.02)33.35% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.03% (0.024999999999999 0.02)69.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 49.29%
    Arbroath 25.92%
    Draw 24.78%
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawArbroath
1-0 @ 10.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 49.29%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 25.92%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 24
Arbroath
3-0
Inverness
Steele (25'), Winter (42' pen.), Dow (70')

Savage (44'), Gilmour (46')
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 17
Inverness
0-2
Arbroath

Thompson (18'), Longstaff (90+1')
Thompson (36')
Smith (52'), Reilly (90+4')
Murray (13')
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Arbroath
1-0
Inverness
Reilly (67')
Watson (55'), (90+3')
Watson (90+3')

Reilly (53')
Jul 23, 2024 7.45pm
Group Stage
Inverness
0-0
Arbroath
(Aggregate 0-0 | Arbroath win 4-3 on penalties)
Callaghan (90+1')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Inverness
2-1
Arbroath
Duffy (45+3'), Samuel (80')
McIntosh (61')
Little (31'), Walker (56'), Stowe (85')
Little (76')