Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 49.29% ( | 24.79% ( | 25.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.88% ( | 49.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.81% ( | 71.19% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.04% ( | 19.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.88% ( | 52.11% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% ( | 33.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.03% ( | 69.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 3-0 @ 4.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.83% Total : 49.29% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 25.92% |