Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.