Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
34.4% (![]() | 26.5% (![]() | 39.09% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.52% (![]() | 52.47% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.85% (![]() | 74.14% (![]() |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.99% (![]() | 29.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.09% (![]() | 64.91% (![]() |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.74% (![]() | 26.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.63% (![]() | 61.36% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 9.43% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.4% | 1-1 @ 12.6% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.62% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 10.18% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.43% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 48 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 48 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 40 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 36 |
7 | Montrose | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 33 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 32 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 30 |
10 | Dumbarton | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 9 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |