

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 34.4% ( | 26.5% ( | 39.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.52% ( | 52.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( | 74.14% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( | 29.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.09% ( | 64.91% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% ( | 26.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.63% ( | 61.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 4-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.4% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 48 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 40 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 36 |
| 7 | Montrose | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 33 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 32 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 30 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 9 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
