

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 69.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 12.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 69.2% ( | 18.57% ( | 12.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.07% ( | 42.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.67% ( | 65.33% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.71% ( | 11.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.09% ( | 35.9% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.67% ( | 45.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.81% ( | 81.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-0 @ 12.17% ( 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 3-0 @ 8.85% ( 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 4-0 @ 4.83% ( 4-1 @ 3.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 5-0 @ 2.11% ( 5-1 @ 1.67% ( 4-2 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 3.67% Total : 69.19% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 2-2 @ 3.81% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.57% | 0-1 @ 4.05% ( 1-2 @ 3.49% ( 0-2 @ 1.6% ( 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 1-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.16% Total : 12.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
| 6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
| 7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
| > Scottish Championship Full Table | |||||||||
