

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Almeria |
| 58.14% ( | 21.82% ( | 20.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.43% ( | 42.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.02% ( | 64.97% ( |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.64% ( | 14.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.77% ( | 42.23% ( |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.94% ( | 35.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.2% ( | 71.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Betis | Draw | Almeria |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 5-0 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 58.14% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 3-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.82% | 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 20.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
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