Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 27.59% and a draw has a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.81%).
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
50.19% (![]() | 22.22% (![]() | 27.59% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.71% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.87% (![]() | 36.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.76% (![]() | 58.24% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.28% (![]() | 14.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.08% (![]() | 42.92% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% (![]() | 25.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.93% (![]() | 60.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.39% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.13% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.83% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.12% 4-1 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.39% Total : 50.19% | 1-1 @ 9.81% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 6.74% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.48% Total : 27.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |